Banazir Bhutto is dead. The late Pakistani politician and secular reformer was shot through the neck and chest by a suicide bomber who then detonated his explosives, killing some 20 bystanders.
This is not the first time that bombers and would-be assassins targeted Bhutto. A previous assassination attempt in October left her unharmed, but Bhutto implicated several aids close to President Pervez Musharraf as orchestrators of the attacks and strongly implied Musharraf's involvement in the plot.
Indeed the bad blood between Musharraf and Bhutto stretches back some years and Pervez Musharraf has repeatedly demonstrated the depth of his commitment to see Bhutto kept from political power in Pakistan.
Musharraf has used every tool at his disposal against Bhutto. He has amended the Pakistani constitution to keep former Prime Ministers from office and placed Bhutto under house arrest rather than face her and her political supporters openly.
While the identity of Bhutto's killer remains a mystery, her supporters require little more than the motive and means outlined above to place blame. Bhutto's supporters - surrounding the hospital where she died - have been chanting "Dog, Musharraf, dog" and foreign media outlets are already airing interviews blaming Musharraf for the assassination.
This will be Pakistan's tipping point.
With Musharraf's legitimacy in serious doubt, his authority as a President called into question by the assassination, and a rapidly opening political scisim in the country the viability of Pakistan as a democratic republic is very much in question.
After being forced to give up his Army uniform to assume the Presidency, Musharaff's use of military force to maintain his power - particularly following the assassination of one of his most vocal and powerful critics - will end any pretenses of democratic legitimacy his government might have. Critics will unavoidably link such an action with Musharraf's lingering ties to the military and his betrayal of the Court ruling.
Indeed such a step may be viewed by many in Pakistan as the final and clinching proof of his involvement in Bhutto's assassination.
What happens next will shape the future of Pakistani politics and the wider Middle East for years to come. If the United States' strongest regional ally slips into a state of political chaos - or worse: civil war - the results could span decades and reshape the Middle East.




