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Why Denver?

Denver's Nighttime Skyline.

Photo Credit: Fort Photo via Flickr and Creative Commons

Invesco Field at Mile High Stadium.

Photo Credit: GeordieMac via Flickr and Creative Commons

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In just a few weeks the Democratic Party will spend millions of dollars in Denver Colorado for the event that will at once officially kick off the Obama Campaign and - the Democrats hope - provide an all-important boost to their party in the last days of summer before the Presidential race begins in earnest. In an era of politics where every gesture is choreographed, every word scripted, and every event planned to the last detail one question has got to be on the mind of the American Public: why hold the convention in Denver and what's so great about Colorado?

The Swing State of the South West

Colorado is presenting itself as a battleground state this year. There has yet to be a non-partisan poll that shows a difference of more than ten points between McCain and Obama in Colorado and while Obama has largely maintained the lead in the Centennial state, a Democratic victory there is far from certain.1 It will be the urban centers that will determine if Colorado goes Blue or Red and the Convention hedges Democratic bets there. Of particular concern is Colorado Springs, which has earned itself the nickname of "the Evangelical Vatican."2 Colorado Springs has become the national headquarters of dozens of religious groups and will be a powerful counterbalance to Denver's more liberal leanings (Kerry carried the Mile High City in 2004 with nearly 70% of the vote3). But truth be told, the Democrats didn't pick Denver because of its political importance.

A Rocky (Mountain) Economy

Like much of America, Colorado's economy is on the rocks. Unemployment has been steadily rising and the Bureau of Labor Statistics predicts that the June 2008 numbers will show a 5.1% unemployment rate there.4 With the economy poised to play a major role in the 2008 election, Colorado is an almost ideal place to talk about the twin economic problems facing the nation. Colorado's Eastern plains are thick with corn, making it a center for both the US Corn Lobby and ethanol: the would-be solution to the energy crisis and the rising cost of fuel. Colorado is home to significant natural gas and coal deposits and has more oil trapped in shale deposits than the rest of the world's proven reserves combined.5 While energy and food production dominate the economic realities of rural Colorado, Denver's 17th Street financial district - the Wall Street of the West - and the Denver housing market are a microcosm of the mortgage and real-estate crisis on many American minds.6 And, despite all of this, the Democrats didn't pick Denver for economic reasons either.

Foreign Policy From A Mile High

Among Colorado's largest industries is defense. The military industrial complex has deep roots - both literal and metaphorical - in the mountains of Colorado. Cheyenne Mountain, the one-time home to the North American Aerospace Defense Command, and the United States' Air Force Academy, both just outside of Colorado Springs, provide perfect backdrops for the Democrats to address key military issues including terrorism, military recruitment, technology, and even the aging American nuclear arsenal.7 Defense has been a historical liability for the Democrats since Johnson and the Vietnam war but increasing dissatisfaction with President Bush's handling of the Iraq conflict has reopened the issue. With the war on terror and Iraq itself likely to dominate discussions of American foreign policy American security, the Democrats will benefit from a well crafted message on the topic of national defense and Colorado is an ideal place to start. But the Democrats didn't pick Denver for military reasons.

Picked Last

In fact, the Democrats didn't pick Denver at all. In November of 2005 the Democratic National Committee invited the local Democratic Parties of 35 cities to draft proposals to host the 2008 convention: Atlanta, Baltimore, Boston, Charlotte, Chicago, Cleveland, Dallas, Denver, Detroit, Houston, Indianapolis, Kansas City, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Memphis, Miami, Miami-Dade County, Milwaukee, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Nashville, New Orleans, New York, Orlando, Philadelphia, Phoenix, Pittsburgh, Portland, St Louis, Sacramento, Salt Lake City, San Antonio, San Diego, San Francisco, Seattle, and Washington DC.

Of the eleven cities that accepted the invitation to bid, only three submitted actual proposals to the DNC: New York, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Denver. In September of 2006, the Republican Party selected St. Paul as the location for its 2008 convention, narrowing the Democratic choices to two. A month later, New York's Mayor Bloomburg suggested that funding a Big Apple Convention could prove problematic, effectively eliminating New York from the running.8 In January of 2007 the Democrats officially named Denver as the location for the 2008 convention.9

Chosen or not, opportunities abound in the Rocky Mountain State. Colorado provides the Democrats with ample political leverage to influence the south-west, flipping key Republican states and forcing the GOP to spend scarce funds in traditionally safe states. Far from the narrow confines of New York and the concrete canyons of Manhattan, the Democrats have the space to engage in the political spectacle that has come to characterize the Obama campaign and on August 28th some 125,000 individuals will crowd Mile High Stadium to watch the Jr. Illinois Senator accept his party's nomination for the Presidency of the United States.10 In the end, it seems, it was not the Democrats who picked Denver, but Denver that picked the Democrats.

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{"commentId":2487079,"authorDomain":"killfile"}

To those of you who are wondering why this article has been visible in the convention coverage box for some time but otherwise impossible to comment on or vote on, well, that's a bug that I'll be talking to Newsvine about.

Otherwise, please feel free to contribute your thoughts on the Democratic convention site and - in particular - its strategic significance to the 2008 campaign.

{"commentId":2487079,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"killfile"}
  • 6 votes
Reply#1 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:17 AM EDT
{"commentId":2487244,"authorDomain":"bondibox"}

McCain just stated that he wants to redraft the Colorado River water sharing agreement with CA, NV and AZ. The new language would give the downstream trio an allotment and whatever is leftover for CO and WY. Coloradoans are furious. I mean, if McCain wanted to sabotage his campaign, saying something like that, just before the Democratic Convention in Denver is a surefire way to lose the state.

{"commentId":2487244,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"bondibox"}
  • 6 votes
Reply#2 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:43 AM EDT
{"commentId":2487350,"authorDomain":"killfile"}

That is a strange move. California isn't going to go to McCain and both Wyoming and Arizona are sure things for him which really leaves Colorado and Nevada.

Of the two he's more likely to win Nevada (or at least more consistently ahead in the polls there) but both are close. Maybe he figures the Convention will put the Dems over the top there and so better to consolidate Nevada.

If so, it's a dumb decision. According to Electoral Vote's tabulation of the latest polling data, McCain is up in Colorado.

{"commentId":2487350,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"killfile"}
  • 1 vote
#2.1 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:58 AM EDT
Reply
{"commentId":2487916,"authorDomain":"wharrison55"}

I find no evidence from American history to suggest that the locus of the convention has a whit of meaning when it comes to the issues of a campaign. Normally it's simply a case of local boosterism and kind of a rotation like the British Open dominating the selection. It's also normally kind a sop to the local party and in CO the Democrats have been doing much better of late retaking the legislature.

{"commentId":2487916,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"wharrison55"}
  • 2 votes
Reply#3 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 11:03 AM EDT
{"commentId":2488023,"authorDomain":"killfile"}

Certainly it'll energize the base Bill, and probably help with voter turnout. There's not granular enough data to really show the impact of get out the vote campaigns either, but that doesn't mean that both Obama and McCain won't spend millions on them in November.

{"commentId":2488023,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"killfile"}
  • 3 votes
#3.1 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 11:13 AM EDT
{"commentId":2496876,"authorDomain":"wharrison55"}

Oh I think it certainly is an attempt to strengthen Obama's chances in CO where he trails in a former red state within the MOE. Not sure what the GOP's thinking about with MN as I don't see McCain winning there or even being particularly competitive. Do you know when Denver was chosen to be the site? I'm too tired from "touristing" today with my brother and niece on the Mall to go Google it.

{"commentId":2496876,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"wharrison55"}
  • 1 vote
#3.2 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:49 PM EDT
{"commentId":2499687,"authorDomain":"killfile"}

Do you know when Denver was chosen to be the site? I'm too tired from "touristing" today with my brother and niece on the Mall to go Google it.

Off the top of my head: 2005. But it wouldn't be a bad idea to confirm that. I wrote this last week so it's not exactly fresh.

{"commentId":2499687,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"killfile"}
  • 1 vote
#3.3 - Tue Aug 19, 2008 6:30 AM EDT
{"commentId":2510724,"authorDomain":"incredulous"}

Denver was prepared to bid for it Feb. 27,'06

Dean announced DNC decision for Denver to host on Jan. 11, 2007.

{"commentId":2510724,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"incredulous"}
  • 1 vote
#3.4 - Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:22 PM EDT
Reply
{"commentId":2488240,"authorDomain":"sbutki"}

Excellent thorough piece, Killfile. I'll track this conversation and return to it later.

{"commentId":2488240,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"sbutki"}
  • 2 votes
Reply#4 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 11:31 AM EDT
{"commentId":2488863,"authorDomain":"MRZK"}

The Mountain West and Southwest were the fastest-growing areas at the time of the decision. They are now at the top of the (Bush-driven) foreclosure list (can you say "corporate deregulation"?)

As for McCain, the demographic in AZ has been changing, AZ has a Democratic Governor and people remember the Keating Debacle he was involved in. Besides, he has been an "absentee" Senator and has never looked out for the state. He turns down federal money, but it just gets sopped up elsewhere (like Alaska).

As for "The Original Maverick" I bought one of those in the seventies and it was the worst car I ever owned...why McCain would conjur up that piece of crap I'll never know, but I won't make the same mistake twice.

{"commentId":2488863,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"MRZK"}
  • 2 votes
Reply#5 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 12:27 PM EDT
{"commentId":2488936,"authorDomain":"killfile"}

I don't know that Arizona is as up for grabs as you make it out to be. McCain has polled consistently ahead of Obama in Arizona and, by most estimations, the state is a "safe" state for the GOP.

{"commentId":2488936,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"killfile"}
  • 2 votes
#5.1 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 12:33 PM EDT
{"commentId":2516525,"authorDomain":"carplake2005"}

The Republicans have made a mess out of Arizona and California. They can't control their borders at all. We have no way of knowing if a terrorist from Arabia is coming over at any time. I'm sick of the Republicans trying to pretend they are for strong borders, especially when Bush Jr. wanted the Arabs to control our ports. The Repubs time is over.

{"commentId":2516525,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"carplake2005"}
    #5.2 - Wed Aug 20, 2008 12:18 PM EDT
    Reply
    {"commentId":2488919,"authorDomain":"redruby"}

    Nice setting of context, Killfile.

    {"commentId":2488919,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"redruby"}
    • 3 votes
    Reply#6 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 12:32 PM EDT
    {"commentId":2491894,"authorDomain":"barry-rutherford"}

    Given what you have said & given what was said on meet the press Sunday the accidental choice of Denver may well prove the linchpin to Victory come November...

    {"commentId":2491894,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"barry-rutherford"}
    • 2 votes
    Reply#7 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:23 PM EDT
    {"commentId":2492008,"authorDomain":"MissDev"}

    Really wonderful article. Thank you.

    Colorado is historically a red state with small spots of blue. However, in the last election cycle we saw a Democratic governor be elected and both the state house and senate become Democratic majorities (the Colorado state legislature has 61 Democrats out of 105 members). While Colorado Springs is ultra-conservative, it seems as though the rest of the state is migrating to a more middle, if not slightly left, ground.

    What may be the most telling, and accurate, portrayal of the politic lean of Colorado is how our national legislative seats are divided. In the Senate we have one Republican and one Democrat, and in the House we have three Republicans and four Democrats. I believe this shows that we are a fairly balanced state when it comes to conservative v liberal, but may be leaning more towards the liberal side of things as the most recently elected Democrat took over a Republican seat.

    It cannot be discounted that Denver hosted the 1908 elections in a very similar climate (Republican control of federal government, desire for change) as today, and that the Democratic Party, mindful of the past and the symbolism it can impart, may have considered Denver for no other reason than its history.

    But Denver did choose the Democrats... we'll just have to wait and see how that choice ends up.

    {"commentId":2492008,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"MissDev"}
    • 5 votes
    Reply#8 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:31 PM EDT
    {"commentId":2492559,"authorDomain":"kick-boxer"}

    Why ask? Obviously, Denver was chosen by Dems or a Rocky Mountain High, who would think otherwise? LOL

    {"commentId":2492559,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"kick-boxer"}
    • 2 votes
    Reply#9 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:14 PM EDT
    {"commentId":2492887,"authorDomain":"killfile"}

    That's.... very helpful. Thanks.

    {"commentId":2492887,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"killfile"}
    • 2 votes
    #9.1 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:42 PM EDT
    Reply
    {"commentId":2493577,"authorDomain":"kick-boxer"}

    You're very welcome!

    {"commentId":2493577,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"kick-boxer"}
      Reply#10 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 6:49 PM EDT
      {"commentId":2497398,"authorDomain":"makinhavoc"}

      Both the Dem Governor and Dem Denver Mayor have dropped to lower ratings with citizens. Take a look at the Govs latest rating...below 50% down from 70 a year ago in the RMN or Denver Post.

      {"commentId":2497398,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"makinhavoc"}
      • 1 vote
      Reply#11 - Mon Aug 18, 2008 11:32 PM EDT
      {"commentId":2501667,"authorDomain":"kick-boxer"}

      Well, it was a good choice anyway, with LA and NYC not symbolic of middel America, where else but in middle America? That's why the Republicans are convening in the upper midwest this time after all. It all macht's nichts!

      {"commentId":2501667,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"kick-boxer"}
      • 1 vote
      Reply#12 - Tue Aug 19, 2008 10:46 AM EDT
      {"commentId":2516458,"authorDomain":"bbryant-eng"}
      IgiveupDeleted
      {"commentId":2516459,"authorDomain":"carplake2005"}

      We need to have the convention in Denver. Colorado has always been kind to Republicans, but with the migration of thousands of Californians in the past 10 years, this state has changed quite a bit. It is more populated for sure, and is suffering from the pollution and crime that comes with growth. We need to spotlight Democrats in this state and support the party. The Republicans have done enough to wreck our beautiful state, and the new Californians who are mostly Democrat need our support in fixing our problems!

      {"commentId":2516459,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"carplake2005"}
      • 1 vote
      Reply#14 - Wed Aug 20, 2008 12:14 PM EDT
      {"commentId":2517755,"authorDomain":"donalddupont"}

      funny, the new californians that are migrating to colo are contributing to crime and pollution(?) and
      should be fixing the problem themselves , not asking for support! but at least you did recognize that they are mostly democrat. could we ask for more republicans to migrate instead?

      {"commentId":2517755,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"donalddupont"}
        #14.1 - Wed Aug 20, 2008 1:50 PM EDT
        Reply
        {"commentId":2516465,"authorDomain":"wenxinjiayuan518"}

        I do not know how to express my viewpiont,but i support you ,SIR

        {"commentId":2516465,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"wenxinjiayuan518"}
          Reply#15 - Wed Aug 20, 2008 12:14 PM EDT
          {"commentId":2524929,"authorDomain":"rick-331120"}

          Colorado is a good example of how the democrats can do when they actually "control" the state congress and the governor's office. When you compare CO to the rest of the country since the last elections in 2006, CO is better off!

          {"commentId":2524929,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"rick-331120"}
            Reply#16 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:31 AM EDT
            {"commentId":2560474,"authorDomain":"DailyCat"}

            Great background, Killfile. Thanks for posting. Wish we had this kind of cogent coverage of the governor's race in Washington state, where we have a comparatively strong economy and excellent progress on important issues such as crime prevention and criminal sentencing yet the Rs have made Chris Gregoire the target of an intense smear campaign.

            {"commentId":2560474,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"DailyCat"}
              Reply#17 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 4:05 PM EDT
              {"commentId":3562037,"authorDomain":"vagabond129"}

              I live in Denver. I think we should hose a political convention every year. All the nuts came to town and the news that week was more interesting that it had been all year. If nothing else, it was quite entertaining. It did not swing my vote one way or the other. I still plan to vote for none of the above.

              {"commentId":3562037,"threadId":"333981","contentId":"1757552","authorDomain":"vagabond129"}
                Reply#18 - Sat Oct 18, 2008 11:20 AM EDT
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