It was in the winter of 49 BC that Julius Caesar lead his armies across the Rubicon river. One imagines the glint of a veiled sun off frost-sheened armor and curved shields as thousands upon thousands of legionnaires wade through waist high water in the January cold at the command of a crimson cloaked Caesar. Their destination was Rome and there was no turning back - in crossing the Rubicon they had invaded Italy, declared war upon the government they served, and cast their lots with their commander. Alea iacta est,
Caesar intoned. "The die is cast."
The Republican Party crossed its own Rubicon earlier this week, its ultimate fate just as uncertain as that which faced the man-who-would-be-emperor more than 2000 years ago. Barack Obama's stimulus package passed the US House of Representatives on Wednesday without a single Republican vote. Though the plan has been derided by the Right as full of pork and insufficiently focused upon economic stimulation, the political reality is that no one will remember these critiques in a few months' time.
The bill passed; the Republicans opposed it to a man; alea iacta est.
The House Republicans may not realize it yet, but they are staring down the barrel of history and betting their careers and perhaps the very life of the Grand Old Party upon the failure of the Obama stimulus package.
The party leadership has and will continue to claim that they can not support the bill for any number of reasons. They will cite objectionable social programs, deride it as insufficiently focused, complain that it does not have enough infrastructure spending, or insist that it has too much... all of which is little more than an elaborate smoke screen. In truth, no bill Obama brought to the Hill would meet with Republican approval because the GOP has nothing to gain from such approval and everything to lose.
The stimulus package will pass with or without Republican support on a straight party-line vote. Obama will sign it because it is his bill. Should the measure succeed or the economy rebound on its own, the Obama administration and the Congressional Democrats will receive credit for the recovery because they controlled the Congress and the Presidency when it passed. Should Obama succeed, conservative contributions will be forgotten, Republicanism repudiated, and the collapse of 2006-2007 firmly affixed to the Bush Administration and the GOP as a whole; the Republican party will find itself shut out of government for the better part of a generation.
If, on the other hand, Obama's stimulus package fails and the American economy sinks further and further into recession those that criticized the bill will find themselves in an enviable political position, much as Democrats did who objected to the Iraq War before it became unpopular in the latter years of the Bush Presidency.
Thus it is that the Republicans have crossed their Rubicon and now march upon Rome itself. Compelled by the tide of history to oppose that which they have sworn to defend, the GOP now harkens to the call of its own unlikely Caesar in the persona of controversial radio host Rush Limbaugh who expressed his fervant hopes for the failure of the Obama administration on his radio show:
I hope he fails. (interruption) What are you laughing at? See, here's the point. Everybody thinks it's outrageous to say. Look, even my staff, "Oh, you can't do that." Why not? Why is it any different, what's new, what is unfair about my saying I hope liberalism fails? Liberalism is our problem. Liberalism is what's gotten us dangerously close to the precipice here. Why do I want more of it? I don't care what the Drive-By story is. I would be honored if the Drive-By Media headlined me all day long: "Limbaugh: I Hope Obama Fails." Somebody's gotta say it.
Headline him the media did. "I hope Obama fails" has become a clarion call for the Republican minority since Limbaugh first trumpeted the sentiment from his pundit's pulpit. It has been embraced by a party that, for the past eight years, has clung to the mantra that criticizing the President in time of crisis is unacceptable, unpatriotic, and unamerican; a party that has all but forgotten the slogan emblazoned across its candidate's placards just a few months ago: "Country First."
The Republicans have crossed the Rubicon, they march upon the nation itself and will see it in ruin before accepting anything less than the full measure of victory. From this there can be no return and no half measures. The Republican party will succeed in its opposition or be destroyed in the process. Alea iacta est.




